Performance & Methodology Disclosure

Last updated: June 29, 2026

This disclosure explains how BoardWise presents forecasts, market comparisons, tracking, performance metrics, units, expected value, signal strength, and related analytics. It is incorporated into the BoardWise Terms of Service.

Core status

BoardWise provides sports-forecast analytics. BoardWise does not accept wagers, place bets, custody funds, operate a sportsbook, run contests, or award prizes.

BoardWise performance metrics are model-tracking metrics unless expressly stated otherwise. They are not actual wagers placed by BoardWise and are not evidence that any user achieved or will achieve the same result.

Forecasts

A forecast is a model-generated estimate, projection, probability, ranking, or signal for a game, team, player, or market. Forecasts may be based on proprietary models, sports data, market data, weather data, and other inputs.

Forecasts are estimates. They may be wrong. They may change before a game starts as data changes, markets move, lineups change, pitchers change, injuries occur, weather changes, models update, or errors are corrected.

Market data and sportsbook prices

BoardWise may display or use sportsbook market prices from third-party sources. A displayed price may not be available to every user, in every state, at every sportsbook, or at the time a user views it. BoardWise does not guarantee that any market price is available, accurate, current, or legally accessible to you.

When BoardWise uses a “best available” sportsbook price for comparison or grading, that price is a hypothetical benchmark from supported data sources. It may overstate what a particular user could have obtained.

Expected value

Expected value, or EV, is a model-based estimate comparing BoardWise’s probability estimate to an available market price. A positive EV label means the model estimates the market price is favorable relative to the model probability. It does not mean the outcome is likely to win, that the forecast is correct, or that profit is guaranteed.

For a typical American-odds market, BoardWise may convert American odds to decimal odds and estimate expected return per 1 hypothetical unit risked as:

EV = model_probability × net_profit_if_win − loss_probability × amount_risked

Where the amount risked is a standardized hypothetical unit unless otherwise stated.

Signal strength

Signal strength is a comparative BoardWise label that ranks or groups model-market differences. It is not a dollar-denominated stake recommendation, not bankroll advice, and not a personalized instruction to wager.

BoardWise may formerly have used or internally referenced Kelly-style language. Public-facing documents should use “signal strength” unless BoardWise separately explains a Kelly formula and makes clear that it is not personalized stake advice.

Units

A unit is a hypothetical tracking measure used to compare results consistently. A unit is not a recommendation that you wager that amount or any amount.

Unless BoardWise states otherwise for a specific performance table, performance tracking assumes one hypothetical unit per tracked play.

ROI

When BoardWise displays ROI, it is a hypothetical model-tracking calculation, not a return achieved by BoardWise or any user.

Unless otherwise stated:

ROI = net hypothetical units won or lost ÷ hypothetical units risked

Example: If 10 hypothetical units were risked and the tracked result is +1.5 hypothetical units, ROI is 15%.

Closing-line value

Closing-line value, or CLV, is a comparison between the market price captured at publication or tracking time and a later market price near close. CLV is a market-movement metric. It does not guarantee that a play will win and does not guarantee future performance.

BoardWise may define CLV differently by market type. If CLV is displayed publicly, the relevant table or page should identify the capture time, closing-time source, and formula used.

Official forecasts and tracking-only forecasts

An official forecast or official pick is a forecast BoardWise designates for official display, tracking, or publication under the relevant product rules.

A tracking-only forecast is a forecast used for model monitoring, shadow testing, experimental markets, or non-official evaluation. Tracking-only forecasts may be visible to paid users but should not be represented as historical official recommendations unless expressly promoted to official status before the relevant event.

Locking and changes

BoardWise may update forecasts before the scheduled start of an event. If BoardWise publicly reports performance, the performance record should be based on the locked publication snapshot used for tracking, not on later edits made after relevant market cutoff.

If a material error is discovered, BoardWise may correct the record and should disclose the correction in a reasonable manner, such as a page note, changelog, or corrected timestamp.

Settlement rules

Unless a market-specific rule states otherwise, BoardWise settles tracked results using official final scores or statistics from recognized data sources.

General rules:

• Win: the tracked side or outcome wins under the applicable market rules.
• Loss: the tracked side or outcome loses under the applicable market rules.
• Push: the result lands exactly on the tracked line where push treatment applies; hypothetical stake is returned and profit/loss is zero.
• Void/no action: the market is not graded because the event is canceled, abandoned, materially changed, or not settled by the relevant data source.
• Postponements: treatment may depend on whether the event is completed within the same official slate or treated as a different event by the data source.
• Doubleheaders: each game should be treated separately using its official game identifier and scheduled matchup.
• Pitcher, lineup, injury, and weather changes: BoardWise may update forecasts before start but does not guarantee updates or availability.
• Player props: settlement may require official player statistics and may be voided if data is unavailable, the player does not participate, or the relevant source voids the market.

BoardWise may update settlement rules by sport, market, or data provider.

Backtests versus live tracking

Backtested results and live forward-tracked results should be visually and mathematically separated. Backtests rely on historical data and assumptions that may not match live availability, user access, market liquidity, timing, model changes, or real-world execution.

Missing data and model changes

BoardWise may exclude or void records where required data is missing, corrupted, mismapped, or not reasonably gradeable. BoardWise should not selectively exclude losing results merely because they are unfavorable.

BoardWise may change models at any time. Model-version changes may affect future forecasts and may make older tracking records less comparable to newer records.

No guarantees

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Model probabilities are estimates. Sports outcomes are uncertain. Market prices move. Users are responsible for their own decisions and legal compliance.